Update: Rachel heads for northern Baja; forecasters expect significant coastal flooding in San Diego
This story has been updated: Update: Rachel comes ashore in Baja as Orange County beaches close and a coastal flood warning takes effect Oct. 11, 2026
Oct. 10, 2026 — This updates our Oct. 9 report on Tropical Storm Rachel. Rachel was about 400 miles south of San Diego at 2 p.m. PDT Oct. 10 with 65 mph winds, moving north-northeast at 30 mph, and was expected to move onshore over northern Baja California that night, the National Hurricane Center said. A tropical storm watch covers the San Diego County coast, and a tropical storm warning covers Baja California's Pacific coast north to the border.
Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen overnight into Oct. 11, with moderate to major coastal flooding possible, the center said. Earlier in the day, the National Weather Service office in San Diego said that "confidence in impactful coastal flooding is high, with significant coastal flooding and beach erosion likely," citing high tides over 7 feet and onshore winds. It forecast surf peaking at 6 to 9 feet on Oct. 11; rain of 0.5 to 1.25 inches on the coast, in the valleys and in the deserts and 1 to 2.5 inches in the mountains; and gusts up to 60 mph on ridges and in passes.
TDD reports on public forecasts; it does not issue forecasts or warnings. For conditions and warnings where you are, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials.
The wall: Where Rachel comes ashore and how severe the coastal flooding will be were not known at publication.
Tier: Confirmed (based on the hurricane center's 2 p.m. advisory and the National Weather Service San Diego statement of 8:07 a.m. Oct. 10)
Sources
- National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory 55 (Oct. 10, 2026)
- National Weather Service San Diego, Tropical Cyclone Local Statement (8:07 a.m. PDT, Oct. 10, 2026)
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